Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 13.246073 15.209223 17.300770 19.688151 22.330718 25.159215 28.408499
2025-01-19 10.839355 13.440869 16.377443 19.914327 24.034162 28.656790 34.209881
2025-01-26 9.393622 12.419061 16.000085 20.502606 25.960466 32.309044 40.195028
2025-02-02 8.239108 11.533273 15.598642 20.903038 27.553101 35.523197 45.697717
2025-02-09 7.171491 10.593190 14.983084 20.907745 28.563048 37.983275 50.298738
2025-02-16 5.991725 9.350099 13.830941 20.084345 28.405846 38.909044 52.954347
2025-02-23 5.223129 8.569763 13.195707 19.846367 28.927173 40.642394 56.613558
2025-03-02 4.503621 7.771118 12.449291 19.373439 29.065239 41.832310 59.557126
2025-03-09 3.973609 7.190080 11.948660 19.182364 29.537752 43.436439 63.046699
2025-03-16 3.449596 6.556170 11.308932 18.730862 29.596284 44.450659 65.742828
2025-03-23 3.128160 6.209951 11.065646 18.826987 30.409010 46.492123 69.853509
2025-03-30 2.810068 5.832264 10.737931 18.763579 30.968689 48.177962 73.499643
2025-04-06 2.581510 5.587709 10.605102 18.991606 31.967824 50.519438 78.135016
2025-04-13 2.365298 5.340214 10.444709 19.158646 32.870155 52.736804 82.641253
2025-04-20 2.238980 5.244538 10.526540 19.707651 34.361748 55.834451 88.459355
2025-04-27 2.095226 5.098819 10.508929 20.087007 35.596393 58.580395 93.828137
2025-05-04 1.906004 4.840974 10.273870 20.088105 36.230766 60.446915 97.957764
2025-05-11 1.623124 4.355005 9.590285 19.289275 35.555191 60.325212 99.166316
2025-05-18 1.447804 4.072761 9.253859 19.058310 35.768907 61.533311 102.341225
2025-05-25 1.264276 3.746490 8.805720 18.600224 35.583216 62.112330 104.576559
2025-06-01 1.131104 3.516508 8.522692 18.415169 35.832645 63.357053 107.824675
2025-06-08 0.986519 3.237126 8.116562 17.978105 35.632802 63.883067 109.980356
2025-06-15 0.906809 3.107150 8.002152 18.071131 36.331878 65.835084 114.346468